Are We Heading for a Blow-Up on the Korean Peninsula?

Key Quotes
Robert Daly
鈥淐hina鈥檚 position in its public pronouncements over the past year has been that tensions on the Korean peninsula are primarily an issue between North Korea and the U.S., which it posits as two squabbling children with moral equivalence between the two of them who may be leading the world toward a nuclear war.鈥
鈥淭he notion that China is merely a bystander is entirely false. North Korea is not China鈥檚 creature and China can鈥檛 call the shots there, but the Kim regime would not exist without China鈥檚 long term support, nor would its nuclear weapons program.鈥
Jean H. Lee
鈥淓ven though South Koreans are accustomed to rhetoric and provocations from North Korea, there is a new element this spring that is making people jittery, and that is Donald Trump. South Koreans see provocation from North Korea as following a certain pattern but what they don鈥檛 now is how the White House is going to react.鈥
鈥淭he pace of the development of North Korea鈥檚 nuclear weapons program and ballistic missiles is unprecedented and something that raises alarm.鈥
Robert S. Litwak
鈥淣orth Korea is on the verge of a nuclear breakout. That would be a game-changer. I called it a slow motion Cuban Missile Crisis. A crisis that will play out, not over thirteen days as in October 1962, but over the next few years.鈥
鈥淲hen I got into this field, I could not have conceived of a North Korea acquiring a nuclear arsenal approaching one half the size of Great Britain.鈥
James Person
鈥淎s President Trump seeks to secure the cooperation of China and regional allies to rein in North Korea, there is a very real possibility that the next South Korean president could oppose the efforts to tighten screws on North Korea.鈥
鈥淣orth Korea is a paranoid regime. They believe that the possession of nuclear weapons will guarantee their security. Mistrust of a maligned and predatory world has been the basis of their foreign and national security policy since the inception of the regime in 1948.鈥
Speakers


Journalist and former Pyongyang Bureau Chief, Associated Press


Professor of Korean Studies and Asia Programs, JHU SAIS; Senior Fellow, Foreign Policy Institute, SAIS
Moderator

Hosted By
Hyundai Motor-Korea Foundation Center for Korean History and Public Policy
The Center for Korean History and Public Policy was established in 2015 with the generous support of the Hyundai Motor Company and the Korea Foundation to provide a coherent, long-term platform for improving historical understanding of Korea and informing the public policy debate on the Korean peninsula in the United States and beyond. Read more
Indo-Pacific Program
The Indo-Pacific Program promotes policy debate and intellectual discussions on US interests in the Asia-Pacific as well as political, economic, security, and social issues relating to the world鈥檚 most populous and economically dynamic region. Read more
Kissinger Institute on China and the United States
The Kissinger Institute works to ensure that China policy serves American long-term interests and is founded in understanding of historical and cultural factors in bilateral relations and in accurate assessment of the aspirations of China鈥檚 government and people. Read more