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Past Event

WEBCAST: To the Rescue: Economic Responses to the Coronavirus in Argentina and Brazil

Argentina and Brazil have adopted starkly different public health responses to the coronavirus, but both countries have reacted aggressively to limit the damage to their already struggling economies.

Brazil, freed of budget constraints by an emergency congressional measure, is ramping up spending on healthcare, unemployment relief and business stimulus, and expanding credit for financial institutions and hard-hit sectors, such as hospitality and retail. Still, concern over the coronavirus鈥檚 economic fallout is mounting, and exacerbating tensions between the federal and state governments.

For Argentina, the pandemic hits amid a prolonged economic slump and debt crisis. The country鈥檚 economy has contracted for the past two years, and it is in the middle of a multibillion dollar debt renegotiation with private creditors. Nevertheless, like neighboring Brazil, its government has approved a sizable stimulus package to support vulnerable communities and limit layoffs through unemployment subsidies, infrastructure spending and price controls.

Are these fiscal stimulus measures enough? Are the central banks acting quickly enough? Is either country capable of sustaining these policies if the crisis continues for months?

Selected Quotes

Miguel Kiguel

鈥淚n the last months, we鈥檙e seeing that money supply is growing very fast and so far, fortunately, we haven鈥檛 seen the effects on inflation, but that鈥檚 a risk that the government is taking.鈥

鈥淭he central bank is taking the risk of running a very expansionary monetary policy.鈥

Martin Rapetti

鈥淥ne of the objectives is to protect the people and the other one is to save firms. Firms in this situation are facing a clear problem of liquidity and bankruptcy. We can see massive bankruptcy ahead. These are the two key issues that governments should be facing today.鈥

Regina Nunes

鈥淎mong other things, we have a capability and a track record that shows Brazil is capable to deal with the crisis.鈥

鈥淭he key question that relates to everybody is not the capacity of Brazil to deal with a crisis now, it is how they will come out.鈥

Christopher Garman

鈥淚f you don鈥檛 provide that lifeline, the economic and social damage could be so large that you鈥檙e not in a condition to recover.鈥

鈥淐ongress is working well with the administration, the president has been isolated by blasting governors for measures of social isolation, but the mood in congress is, 鈥榙on鈥檛 pick a fight with the president, don鈥檛 even talk about impeachment, approve whatever the government sends to congress quickly, expeditiously, and keep the measures as a one-off measure of relief.鈥 So, I think that the quality of response is decent.鈥

 

 

Speakers

Photo of Miguel Kiguel
Miguel Kiguel
Executive Director of Econviews;聽Former Under Secretary of Finance of Argentina
Photo of Regina Nunes
Regina Nunes
Founding Partner, RNA Capital;聽Former Head of Brazil, Argentina Offices and the Southern Cone Latin America, S&P Global Ratings.
Photo of Martin Rapetti
Mart铆n Rapetti
Director of the Economic Development Program at CIPPEC

Moderators

Hosted By

Argentina Project

The Argentina Project is the premier institution for policy-relevant research on politics and economics in Argentina.   Read more

Argentina Project

Brazil Institute

The Brazil Institute鈥攖he only country-specific policy institution focused on Brazil in Washington鈥攁ims to deepen understanding of Brazil鈥檚 complex landscape and strengthen relations between Brazilian and US institutions across all sectors.   Read more

Brazil Institute

Latin America Program

乐鱼 体育鈥檚 prestigious Latin America Program provides non-partisan expertise to a broad community of decision makers in the United States and Latin America on critical policy issues facing the Hemisphere. The Program provides insightful and actionable research for policymakers, private sector leaders, journalists, and public intellectuals in the United States and Latin America. To bridge the gap between scholarship and policy action, it fosters new inquiry, sponsors high-level public and private meetings among multiple stakeholders, and explores policy options to improve outcomes for citizens throughout the Americas. Drawing on the 乐鱼 体育鈥檚 strength as the nation鈥檚 key non-partisan policy forum, the Program serves as a trusted source of analysis and a vital point of contact between the worlds of scholarship and action.   Read more

Latin America Program