What's Next for Afghanistan's Economy?

In recent years, as Afghanistan's security situation has suffered, its economy has struggled as well. Poverty has risen significantly, and a worsening drought has caused major damage to agriculture, a key economic sector. At the same time, there have been some successes, including drops in inflation and rising rates of revenue collection. Additionally, new customs policies and trade programs have expanded Afghan exports.
This event took stock of the state of Afghanistan鈥檚 economy, with particular focus on recent Afghan policy achievements; U.S. assistance efforts; and the major challenges that remain and how best to address them.
Selected Quotes
Ajmal Ahmady
"To make it easier to invest, we passed a 'new companies' law. Our previous law was literally the worst law in the world; we were tied with Somalia for the worst law in the world.鈥
鈥淲e鈥檙e not allowing Afghans' own money to be used in the development of Afghanistan, and I think that鈥檚 a mistake. Banks are there to take prudent risks. We had a big crisis, it鈥檚 been eight years or more. We need to recover from it [and] we need our banks to lend to create growth in Afghanistan.鈥
鈥淚f we鈥檙e not going to support Afghan farmers, the Taliban will, opium dealers will 鈥 and we鈥檝e seen the explosion of opium growth.鈥
Karen Freeman
鈥淔rom fruits and nuts to fabric and carpets to marble and onyx, these urban market centers have the potential resources for businesses and factories to process inputs, to get them to the airport.鈥
鈥淎fghanistan鈥檚 targeted focus on exports has nearly doubled the value of exports since 2016, moving from around half-a-billion dollars to nearly one-billion dollars this year. It鈥檚 a dramatic increase, and one we didn鈥檛 expect.鈥
Earl Anthony Wayne
鈥淭he low growth is not just because of the lack of economic reforms. It鈥檚 also because of the deteriorating security situation and the political uncertainty that has been evident over the past year and is going to continue for a while, with presidential elections coming up.鈥
鈥淭he real long-term solution for Afghanistan, I think we all know, is returning to a situation where there is less fighting, more security, more political stability 鈥 and then there鈥檚 a real chance of a substantial peace dividend."
Speakers

Former Career Ambassador to Afghanistan, Argentina, and Mexico;聽Distinguished Diplomat in Residence, School of International Service, American University
Hosted By
Indo-Pacific Program
The Indo-Pacific Program promotes policy debate and intellectual discussions on US interests in the Asia-Pacific as well as political, economic, security, and social issues relating to the world鈥檚 most populous and economically dynamic region. Read more
Middle East Program
乐鱼 体育鈥檚 Middle East Program serves as a crucial resource for the policymaking community and beyond, providing analyses and research that helps inform US foreign policymaking, stimulates public debate, and expands knowledge about issues in the wider Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region. Read more